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Intel Contemplates Outsourcing Advanced Production, Upending Oregon's Central Role

Slashdot - Tue, 11/03/2020 - 01:25
According to The Oregonian, Intel is "openly flirting with the notion of moving leading-edge production from Oregon to Asia and hiring one of its top rivals to make Intel's most advanced chips." The decision is likely in January. From the report: It's a momentous choice that follows a string of manufacturing setbacks at the Ronler Acres campus near Hillsboro Stadium, failures that have cost Intel its cherished leadership in semiconductor technology -- perhaps forever. Outsourcing wouldn't shutter Intel's Oregon factories or close down its Hillsboro research labs. The company says it's committed to maintaining its advanced research and retaining internal production capacity. It's continuing a massive expansion of its D1X factory in Hillsboro. In time, though, Oregon's central role in Intel's technology would almost surely erode if the company cedes manufacturing leadership to rivals overseas. Chip industry analyst Dan Hutcheson of VLSI Research believes that transition could render Oregon "irrelevant" if Intel gradually shifts away from integrated research and manufacturing. "Companies say they're making a transition. What they find is they're stepping off a cliff," Hutcheson said. "They're going down a road that you can't easily go back on." CEO Bob Swan told Wall Street analysts on a conference call earlier this month that it may outsource advanced production to its rivals -- he named Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., specifically -- to ensure "a predictable cadence of leadership products." Swan told investors to expect a decision by late January. Intel already outsources as much as a fifth of its production but has kept the leading edge in Oregon. And whatever it decides on outsourcing, Swan said Intel will maintain its advanced research -- science performed in Hillsboro -- which he described as "a powerful force in creating future differentiation for our products." On this month's analyst call, Swan said Intel believes it can have it both ways -- sending advanced production overseas while retaining internal production for components and older products that don't require the most sophisticated technology. And Swan said Intel believes it could restore advanced manufacturing to its own factories sometime in the future, if it chooses to.

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SiFive Unveils Plan For Linux PCs With RISC-V Processors

Slashdot - Tue, 11/03/2020 - 00:45
SiFive today announced it is creating a platform for Linux-based personal computers based on RISC-V processors. VentureBeat reports: Assuming customers adopt the processors and use them in PCs, the move might be part of a plan to create Linux-based PCs that use royalty-free processors. This could be seen as a challenge to computers based on designs from Intel, Advanced Micro Devices, Apple, or Arm, but giants of the industry don't have to cower just yet. The San Mateo, California-based company unveiled HiFive Unmatched, a development design for a Linux-based PC that uses its RISC-V processors. At the moment, these development PCs are early alternatives, most likely targeted at hobbyists and engineers who may snap them up when they become available in the fourth quarter for $665. The SiFive HiFive Unmatched board will have a SiFive processor, dubbed the SiFive FU740 SoC, a 5-core processor with four SiFive U74 cores and one SiFive S7 core. The U-series cores are Linux-based 64-bit application processor cores based on RISC-V. These cores can be mixed and matched with other SiFive cores, such as the SiFive FU740. These components are all leveraging SiFive's existing intellectual property portfolio. The HiFive Unmatched board comes in the mini-ITX standard form factor to make it easy to build a RISC-V PC. SiFive also added some standard industry connectors -- ATX power supplies, PCI-Express expansion, Gigabit Ethernet, and USB ports are present on a single-board RISC-V development system. The HiFive Unmatched board includes 8GB of DDR4 memory, 32MB of QSPI flash memory, and a microSD card slot on the motherboard. For debugging and monitoring, developers can access the console output of the board through the built-in microUSB type-B connector. Developers can expand it using PCI-Express slots, including both a PCIe general-purpose slot (PCIe Gen 3 x8) for graphics, FPGAs, or other accelerators and M.2 slots for NVME storage (PCIe Gen 3 x4) and Wi-Fi/Bluetooth modules (PCIe Gen 3 x1). There are four USB 3.2 Gen 1 type-A ports on the rear, next to the Gigabit Ethernet port, making it easy to connect peripherals. The system will ship with a bootable SD card that includes Linux and popular system developer packages, with updates available for download from SiFive.com. It will be available for preorders soon. For some more context: Could RISC-V processors compete with Intel, ARM, and AMD?

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GitHub Warns Users Reposting YouTube-DL They Could Be Banned

Slashdot - Tue, 11/03/2020 - 00:02
An anonymous reader quotes a report from TorrentFreak: On October 23, 2020, the RIAA decided on action to stunt the growth and potentially the entire future of popular YouTube-ripping tool YouTube-DL. The music industry group filed a copyright complaint with code repository Github, demanding that the project be taken down for breaching the anti-circumvention provisions of the DMCA. While this was never likely to be well received by the hoards of people who support the software, the response was unprecedented. [...] One of the responses was to repost the content to Github itself, where hundreds of YouTube-DL forks kept the flame alight. A copy even appeared in Github's DMCA notice repository where surprisingly it remains to this day. Now, however, Github is warning of consequences for those who continue to use the platform for deliberate breaches of the DMCA. As previously reported, Github is being unusually sympathetic to the plight of the YouTube-DL developers. Most platforms are very happy to simply follow the rules by removing content in response to a DMCA complaint and standing back while declaring "Nothing to do with us folks." Github, on the other hand, has actively become involved to try and get the project reinstated. Unfortunately, however, there is only so far Github can go, something the company made clear in a statement posted to its DMCA repository this weekend. "If you are looking to file or dispute a takedown notice by posting to this repository, please STOP because we do not accept Pull Requests or other contributions to this repository," wrote Jesse Geraci, Github's Corporate Counsel. "Please note that re-posting the exact same content that was the subject of a takedown notice without following the proper process is a violation of GitHub's DMCA Policy and Terms of Service. If you commit or post content to this repository that violates our Terms of Service, we will delete that content and may suspend access to your account as well," Geraci wrote. This statement caused an update to Github's earlier DMCA notice advice.

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Twilio Wraps $3.2 Billion Purchase of Segment After Warp-Speed Courtship

Slashdot - Mon, 11/02/2020 - 23:45
Three weeks after announcing the $3.2 billion deal, TechCrunch is reporting that Twilio has officially acquired communications API company Segment. From the report: While we can't know for sure, the speed with which the deal closed could suggest that it was in the works longer than we had known, and when we began hearing rumors of the acquisition, it could have already been signed, sealed and delivered. In addition, the fact that Twilio CEO Jeff Lawson and Segment CEO Peter Reinhardt knew one another before coming to terms might have helped accelerate the process. Regardless, the two companies are a nice fit. Both deal with the API economy, providing a set of tools to help developers easily add a particular set of functions to their applications. For Twilio, that's a set of communications APIs, while Segment focuses on customer data. When you pull the two sets of tooling together, and combine that with Twilio's 2018 SendGrid acquisition, you can see the possibility to build more complete applications for interacting with customers at every level, including basic communications like video, SMS and audio from Twilio, as well as customer data from Segment and customized emails and ads based on those interactions from SendGrid. As companies increasingly focus on digital engagement, especially in the midst of a pandemic, Twilio's Lawson believes the biggest roadblock to this type of engagement has been that data has been locked in silos, precisely the kind of problem that Segment has been attacking. With the deal closed, Segment will become a division of Twilio. Reinhardt will continue to be CEO, and will report directly to Lawson.

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Walmart Ends Contract With Robotics Company, Opts For Human Workers Instead

Slashdot - Mon, 11/02/2020 - 23:25
According to The Wall Street Journal, Walmart has cut ties with Bossa Nova Robotics, opting for human workers instead. CNBC reports: A Walmart spokesperson told the Journal that about 500 robots were in Walmart's more than 4,700 stores when the contract ended. According to the Journal's report, Walmart has come up with simple and cost-effective ways to manage the products on its shelves with the help of its workers rather than using the robots. The report said Walmart U.S. Chief Executive John Furner also worried about shoppers' reactions to the robots. Walmart is pressing ahead with other tech-based experimentation, however. Last week, the retailer said it would turn four stores into e-commerce laboratories that test digital tools and different strategies that could speed up restocking shelves and fulfilling online orders.

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South Park Creators Have New Political Satire Series With AI-Generated Deepfakes

Slashdot - Mon, 11/02/2020 - 22:45
An anonymous reader quotes a report from The Register: Trey Parker and Matt Stone, best known for their cartoon South Park, have created a new comedy deepfake series called Sassy Justice. The star of the show, Fred Sassy, is a local news reporter from Cheyenne, Wyoming, with the face of US President Donald Trump. Other notable characters include, erm, "Dialysis King" Mark Zuckerberg. Politicians like former vice president Al Gore and White House family members Ivanka Trump and her husband Jared Kushner also appear. Kushner is portrayed as a man child. If that sounds completely bonkers, that's because it is. They're all actually deepfakes generated using machine learning algorithms. Their faces have all been superimposed onto the bodies of actors. Not only is it pretty funny, the quality of the technology is shockingly good. The transitions and subtle facial expressions are smooth, apart from Zuckerberg who appears as robotic as ever, making it all the more realistic really. You can watch the first episode here.

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Tech Startups Say New Pay Rules for H-1B Visas Are Unaffordable

Slashdot - Mon, 11/02/2020 - 22:05
New rules from the Trump administration restricting skilled foreign workers are unnerving U.S. startup hubs, as founders and investors say the limitations will hamstring their ability to recruit top-tier talent to grow their businesses [Editor's note: the link may be paywalled; free syndicated source]. From a report: The changes to the H-1B visa program announced in October will make qualifying for the work visas much tougher and compel employers to pay foreign workers drastically higher wages. Those rules hit especially hard for technology startups, whose founders and rank-and-file are often immigrants and which usually pay employees a lower salary but compensate with stock options. Many salaries under the new rules start at $208,000, even for inexperienced workers. "It's already expensive, it was already a high bar, and we are making it prohibitive," Kate Mitchell, co-founder of venture-capital firm Scale, said of the H1-B program. The administration has said the rules are designed to ensure U.S. workers get priority for jobs. "For too long, foreign worker programs have been abused at the expense of American workers," a spokesperson for the Labor Department said. The new rules "will help put an end to these harms." The H1-B rules are the latest in a string of immigration restrictions dating back to the travel ban against citizens from predominantly Muslim countries that Mr. Trump issued a week after his inauguration. The cumulative effect has left some tech startups weary of doing business here, founders say. Some founders say they are shifting hiring and growth plans away from the U.S., establishing engineering hubs in Eastern Europe and sending new recruits from American universities who would require a U.S. visa to work instead at satellite offices in Canada. Nearly a third of all venture-backed startups are founded by immigrants, according to a 2016 report from the National Bureau of Economic Research. More than half of startups valued at $1 billion or more have at least one immigrant founder, according to a 2018 paper from the National Foundation for American Policy, a nonpartisan think tank. Several of the highest-valued venture-backed companies today, including payments company Stripe and stock-trading app Robinhood, have at least one immigrant founder and collectively thousands of employees. Much of the high-tech industry has long wanted overhauls to the H-1B program so companies have an easier path to obtain visas in a competitive hiring environment. The administration says low-cost foreign workers are taking jobs from Americans.

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PS5 Faceplate Seller Cancels All Orders Following 'Legal Action from Sony'

Slashdot - Mon, 11/02/2020 - 21:28
A peripheral company selling custom PS5 faceplates has been forced to cancel all its orders and pull the products from sale, following reported legal action from Sony. From a report: PlateStation5.com had already been forced to rebrand to CustomizeMyPlates.com following a complaint from Sony earlier this week, but now the seller claims that subsequent threats to go to court over the custom faceplates have forced it to stop selling the product entirely. "Before we launched, we did our due diligence and were of the opinion, that because Sony only had pending patents on the faceplates there would be no problem," CustomizeMyPlates told VGC via e-mail. "But after only a day of our website being live, Sony's lawyers asked us to change our name (at the time PlateStation5), due to trademark infringements. We thought this switch would be enough to keep everyone happy, and honestly were hoping so since we were already underway with our product development. "But then Sony's lawyers told us it was their opinion, Sony's intellectual property extended to the faceplates, and that if we continued to sell and distribute them in any country, we would end up in court." It added: "This all came to light yesterday and we are now cancelling and refunding all faceplate orders worldwide... we are extremely disappointed about this but we have no other option."

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FCC Funding Aims To Guarantee 100 Mbps Internet Throughout Puerto Rico

Slashdot - Mon, 11/02/2020 - 20:50
On Monday, the FCC's Wireless Competition Board announced that newly allocated financing part of Stage Two of the Uniendo a Puerto Rico fund will ensure that every location across Puerto Rico will have access to broadband internet with download speeds of at least 100 Mbps, with one-third of the territory getting 1 Gbps internet. From a report: The milestone will come from $127.1 million in funding the FCC will provide over 10 years to two firms: Liberty Communications and Claro Puerto Rico. Of that $127.1 million, $71.54 will go to Liberty Communications, which will take care of connecting 43 of Puerto Rico's 78 municipios -- the equivalent to counties on the mainland. The remaining $55.56 million will help Claro build out broadband connections in the other 35 municipios. All told, the approximately 1.2 million places across the territory will get some form of high-speed broadband access through the funding. In a previous stage of Uniendo a Puerto Rico fund announced in June, the FCC allocated $237.9 million through to 2022 to help AT&T, T-Mobile and Claro build out LTE and 5G networks across Puerto Rico and the US Virgin Islands.

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No, Sean Connery Did Not Write a Mean Letter To Steve Jobs

Slashdot - Mon, 11/02/2020 - 20:18
A fake letter from Sean Connery to Apple co-founder Steve Jobs is making the rounds on social media following the actor's death on Saturday. Just to reiterate: it's fake, the product of humor site Scoopertino, which posts satirical articles about Apple and goings-on at its Cupertino (get it that's the name) headquarters. From a report: The typewritten letter dated 1998 purports to show Connery's outrage over Jobs asking him to appear in an Apple commercial. "I do not sell my soul for Apple or any other company. I have no interest in 'changing the world' as you suggest," it states. "You are a computer salesman, I am fucking JAMES BOND!" But the internet loves things that are too good to be true, and Sunday morning, the "letter" was circulating on Twitter.

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An Underwater Navigation System Powered by Sound

Slashdot - Mon, 11/02/2020 - 19:38
GPS isn't waterproof. The navigation system depends on radio waves, which break down rapidly in liquids, including seawater. To track undersea objects like drones or whales, researchers rely on acoustic signaling. But devices that generate and send sound usually require batteries -- bulky, short-lived batteries that need regular changing. Could we do without them? From a report: MIT researchers think so. They've built a battery-free pinpointing system dubbed Underwater Backscatter Localization (UBL). Rather than emitting its own acoustic signals, UBL reflects modulated signals from its environment. That provides researchers with positioning information, at net-zero energy. Though the technology is still developing, UBL could someday become a key tool for marine conservationists, climate scientists, and the U.S. Navy. These advances are described in a paper being presented this week at the Association for Computing Machinery's Hot Topics in Networks workshop, by members of the Media Lab's Signal Kinetics group.

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Maze, a Notorious Ransomware Group, Says It's Shutting Down

Slashdot - Mon, 11/02/2020 - 18:45
One of the most active and notorious data-stealing ransomware groups, Maze, says it is "officially closed." From a report: The announcement came as a waffling statement, riddled with spelling mistakes, and published on its website on the dark web, which for the past year has published vast troves of stolen internal documents and files from the companies it targeted, including Cognizant, cybersecurity insurance firm Chubb, pharmaceutical giant ExecuPharm, Tesla and SpaceX parts supplier Visser, and defense contractor Kimchuk. Where typical ransomware groups would infect a victim with file-encrypting malware and hold the files for a ransom, Maze gained its notoriety for first exfiltrating a victim's data and threatening to publish the stolen files unless the ransom was paid. It quickly became the preferred tactic of ransomware groups, which set up websites -- often on the dark web -- to leak the files it stole if the victim refused to pay up. Maze initially used exploit kits and spam campaigns to infect its victims, but later began using known security vulnerabilities to specifically target big name companies. Maze was known to use vulnerable virtual private network (VPN) and remote desktop (RDP) servers to launch targeted attacks against its victim's network. Some of the demanded ransoms reached into the millions of dollars.

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Apple Announces November 10 One More Thing event for ARM-based Macs

Slashdot - Mon, 11/02/2020 - 18:07
As expected, Apple has announced a third fall media event, "One More Thing," focused on the first Mac computers with ARM technology-based Apple Silicon processors. The event will take place on November 10, 2020, and will be streamed from the company's Apple Park headquarters starting at 10:00a.m. Pacific Time. From a report: "One More Thing" was originally a phrase used at media events by Apple's late CEO Steve Jobs, who used it to generate audience enthusiasm for a show-closing announcement. [...] Apple flagged the new Mac and macOS releases for a late 2020 release during its all-digital Worldwide Developers Conference in June. macOS 11, also known as Big Sur, is the first Mac operating system to support both Intel CPUs and new "Apple Silicon" processors. These chips have not yet been officially branded, but will rely upon the same ARM instruction sets and comparatively low power consumption designs that have been used in iPhones, iPads, Apple Watches, and Apple TVs for years.

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WeWork Employees Used an Alarmingly Insecure Printer Password

Slashdot - Mon, 11/02/2020 - 17:24
A shared user account used by WeWork employees to access printer settings and print jobs had an incredibly simple password -- so simple that a customer guessed it. From a report: Jake Elsley, who works at a WeWork in London, said he found the user account after a WeWork employee at his location mistakenly left the account logged in. WeWork customers like Elsley normally have an assigned seven-digit username and a four-digit passcode used for printing documents at WeWork locations. But the username for the account used by WeWork employees was just four-digits: "9999". Elsley told TechCrunch that he guessed the password because it was the same as the username. ("9999" is ranked as one of the most common passwords in use today, making it highly insecure.) The "9999" account is used by and shared among WeWork community managers, who oversee day-to-day operations at each location, to print documents for visitors who don't have accounts to print on their own. The account cannot be used to access print jobs sent to other customer accounts. Elsley said that the "9999" account could not see the contents of documents beyond file names, but that logging in to the WeWork printing web portal could allow him to release other people's pending print jobs sent to the "9999" account to any other WeWork printer on the network.

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Chrome Will Soon Have Its Own Dedicated Certificate Root Store

Slashdot - Mon, 11/02/2020 - 16:42
Google has announced plans to run its own certificate root program/store for Chrome, in a major architectural shift for the company's web browser program. From a report: A "root program" or a "root store" is a list of root certificates that operating systems and applications use to verify the identity of a software program during its installation routine. Browsers like Chrome use root stores to check the validity of an HTTPS connection. They do this by looking at the website's TLS certificate and checking if the root certificate that was used to generate the TLS cert is included in the local root program/store. Since its launch in late 2009, Chrome was configured to use the "root store" of the underlying platform. For example, Chrome on Windows checked a site's TLS certificate against the Microsoft Trusted Root Program, the root store that ships with Windows; Chrome on macOS relied on the Apple Root Certificate Program; and so on. But in a wiki page, shared with ZDNet by one of our readers, Google announced plans to create its own root store, named the Chrome Root Program, that will ship with all versions of Chrome, on all platforms, except iOS.

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Slump in Air Travel Hindered Weather Forecasting, Study Shows

Slashdot - Mon, 11/02/2020 - 16:03
Government researchers have confirmed that the steep decline in air traffic during the coronavirus pandemic has affected the quality of weather forecasting models by sharply reducing the amount of atmospheric data routinely collected by commercial airliners. From a report: In a study, researchers showed that when a short-term forecasting model received less data on temperature, wind and humidity from aircraft, the forecast skill (the difference between predicted meteorological conditions and what actually occurred) was worse. The researchers and others had suspected this would be the case because atmospheric observations from passenger and cargo flights are among the most important data used in forecasting models. The observations are made by instruments aboard thousands of airliners, mostly based in North America and Europe, as part of a program in place for decades. They are transmitted in real time to forecasting organizations around the world, including the National Weather Service. During the first months of the pandemic, when air traffic declined by 75 percent or more worldwide, the number of observations dropped by about the same percentage. "With every kind of observation that goes into weather models, we know they have some impact on improving accuracy overall," said one of the researchers, Stan Benjamin, a senior scientist at the Global Systems Laboratory, a part of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, in Boulder, Colo. "If you've really lost a lot of observations of some kind there could be some stepping back in skill overall." While the researchers showed that the data loss contributed to making the model less accurate, NOAA said that so far it had not seen an impact on the type of short-term forecasts that companies use to make business decisions or a person might use to decide if they need to take an umbrella when going out.

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What It's Like To Get Locked Out of Google Indefinitely

Slashdot - Mon, 11/02/2020 - 15:28
An anonymous reader shares a report: When he received the notification from Google he couldn't quite believe it. Cleroth, a game developer who asked not to use his real name, woke up to see a message that all his Google accounts were disabled due to "serious violation of Google policies." His first reaction was that something must have malfunctioned on his phone. Then he went to his computer and opened up Chrome, Google's internet browser. He was signed out. He tried to access Gmail, his main email account, which was also locked. "Everything was disconnected," he told Business Insider. Cleroth had some options he could pursue: One was the option to try and recover his Google data â" which gave him hope. But he didn't go too far into the process because there was also an option to appeal the ban. He sent in an appeal. He received a response the next day: Google had determined he had broken their terms of service, though they didn't explain exactly what had happened, and his account wouldn't be reinstated. (Google has been approached for comment on this story.) Cleroth is one of a number of people who have seen their accounts suspended in the last few days and weeks. In response to a tweet explaining his fear at being locked out of his Google account after 15 years of use, others have posted about the impact of being barred from the company that runs most of the services we use in our day-to-day lives. "I've been using a Google account for personal and work purposes for years now. It had loads of various types of data in there," said Stephen Roughley, a software developer from Birkenhead, UK. "One day when I went to use it I found I couldn't log in." Roughley checked his backup email account and found a message there informing him his main account had been terminated for violating the terms of service. "It suggested that I had been given a warning and I searched and searched but couldn't find anything," added Roughley. "I then followed the link to recover my account but was given a message stating that my account was irrecoverable." Roughley lost data including emails, photos, documents and diagrams that he had developed for his work. "My account and all its data is gone," he said.

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The Raspberry Pi 400 is a Compact Keyboard With a Built-in Computer

Slashdot - Mon, 11/02/2020 - 14:41
The Raspberry Pi Foundation has announced the Raspberry Pi 400, a compact keyboard with an ARM-based computer built in. Just plug it into a TV or monitor using one of its two micro HDMI ports, insert a microSD card, attach a power cord and mouse, and you've got yourself a basic computer for day-to-day tasks, coding, or media playback. It's available starting today as a standalone machine for $70 or in a bundle including a mouse, power supply, microSD card, HDMI cable, and beginner's guide for $100. From a report: The hope is the Pi 400's form factor, plus these optional bundled items, makes it more approachable and user-friendly. That's important when you're selling an affordable computer, and it's especially important when you're selling an accessible device to help children learn to code. It looks more like a piece of consumer electronics than the basis for a DIY project. [...] Aside from its keyboard and form factor, the Raspberry Pi 400 is a very similar computer to last year's Raspberry Pi 4. It's got a slightly faster quad-core 1.8GHz ARM Cortex-A72 CPU, up from 1.5GHz in the Pi 4, 4GB of RAM, Gigabit Ethernet, Bluetooth 5.0, and 802.11ac Wi-Fi. There are a pair of micro HDMI ports that can each output up to 4K / 60Hz, two USB 3.0 ports, and a single USB 2.0 port. Power is provided via a USB-C port, there's a microSD card slot for storage, and there's a GPIO header for attaching a variety of more niche devices.

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Why You Can't Rely on Election Forecasts

Slashdot - Mon, 11/02/2020 - 14:00
Zeynep Tufekci, writing at The New York Times: There's a strong case for ignoring the predictions. Why do we have models? Why can't we just consider polling averages? Well, presidents are not elected by a national vote total but by the electoral votes of each state, so national polls do not give us the information we need. As two of the last five elections showed -- in 2000 and 2016 -- it's possible to win the popular vote and lose the Electoral College. Models give us a way to process polls of various quality in 50 states to arrive at a forecast. There are two broad ways to model an event: using "fundamentals" -- mechanisms that can affect the event -- and probabilities -- measurements like polls. For elections, fundamentals would be historically informed lessons like, "a better economy favors incumbents." With polls, there is no theory about why they are the way they are. We just use the numbers they produce. Electoral forecast modelers run simulations of an election based on various inputs -- including state and national polls, polling on issues and information about the economy and the national situation. If they ran, say, 1,000 different simulations with various permutations of those inputs, and if Joe Biden got 270 electoral votes in 800 of them, the forecast would be that Mr. Biden has an 80 percent chance of winning the election. This is where weather and electoral forecasts start to differ. For weather, we have fundamentals -- advanced science on how atmospheric dynamics work -- and years of detailed, day-by-day, even hour-by-hour data from a vast number of observation stations. For elections, we simply do not have anything near that kind of knowledge or data. While we have some theories on what influences voters, we have no fine-grained understanding of why people vote the way they do, and what polling data we have is relatively sparse. Consequently, most electoral forecasts that are updated daily -- like those from FiveThirtyEight or The Economist -- rely heavily on current polls and those of past elections, but also allow fundamentals to have some influence. Since many models use polls from the beginning of the modern primary era in 1972, there are a mere 12 examples of past presidential elections with dependable polling data. That means there are only 12 chances to test assumptions and outcomes, though it's unclear what in practice that would involve. A thornier problem is that unlike weather events, presidential elections are not genuine "repeat" events. Facebook didn't play a major role in elections until probably 2012. Twitter, without which Mr. Trump thinks he might not have won, wasn't even founded until 2006. How much does an election in 1972, conducted when a few broadcast channels dominated the public sphere, tell us about what might happen in 2020? Interpreting electoral forecasts correctly is yet another challenge. If a candidate wins an election with 53 percent of the vote, that would be a decisive victory. If a probability model gives a candidate a 53 percent chance of winning, that means that if we ran simulations of the election 100 times, that candidate would win 53 times and the opponent 47 times -- almost equal odds.

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Soccer Telecast Ruined When AI-Controlled Camera Mistakes Ref's Bald Head For Ball

Slashdot - Mon, 11/02/2020 - 12:34
Futurism reports: Fans of the soccer team Caledonian Thistle FC from Inverness, Scotland, experienced something hilarious this week when the robot camera operator — automatically trained to keep the lens trained on the soccer ball using AI — kept mistaking the linesman's bald head for the ball, as IFL Science reports. The result: angry (or amused) soccer fans kept losing track of the game because the camera kept swiveling to zoom in on the referee's hairless head, as seen in a video uploaded to YouTube (bonus points for the excellent soundtrack).

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